🌍 WORLD TENSION: 76/100 ↑
💚 WORLD GOODNESS: 58/100 →
🌡️ TEMP ANOMALY: +1.42°C above baseline
🌊 SEA LEVEL: +112mm since 1993
❄️ ARCTIC ICE: 13.8M km² · –1.2M vs median
🌿 CO₂: 424.4 ppm · +3.2/yr
🪐 EXOPLANETS: 5,647 confirmed
☄️ NEO WATCH: 4 close approaches this week · No threats
👽 TECHNOSIG WATCH: 3 candidates active
☀️ SOLAR ACTIVITY: MODERATE — G1 Storm Watch
🎯 INFORMATION INTEGRITY: 61.4% verified claims
🚢 GLOBAL TRADE STRESS: 62/100 · Elevated
🧭 CALM WINDOW PROBABILITY: 28% — LOW
⚖️ WEALTH INEQUALITY: Gini 0.67 · Top 1% owns 38%
📈 SOCIAL MOBILITY: 53.4/100 · Stalled
💔 CONFLICT DEATHS: 28,400 YTD · 56 active zones
🕊️ PEACEKEEPING: 87,000 deployed · 12 missions
🦏 SPECIES THREATENED: 44,016 · 28% of assessed
🌿 CONSERVATION: 17.6% of Earth protected · 30x30 goal
World On Edge
vs. World Goodness
A living intelligence dashboard tracking the forces that shape our world — tension, hope, discovery, and truth. All data sourced from verified scientific and institutional feeds.
The Balance
World On Edge Index
😰
78
⚠ HIGH TENSION
Composite of GPR Index, active conflicts, public stress, wealth inequality, species loss, and expert forecasts.
A composite heartbeat of global geopolitical stress — when this rises, history shows instability follows within 12–18 months.
↑ Click for full detail + share
VS
World Goodness Index
💚
54
↗ HOLDING STEADY
Tracks humanitarian aid, scientific breakthroughs, poverty reduction, conservation wins, social mobility, and global cooperation.
Quantifying humanity's collective wins — the half of the story the news almost never tells.
↑ Click for full detail + share
🌍 Earth Pulse
NOAA / Copernicus C3S · Monthly
Global Temp Anomaly
Updated monthly
🌡️
+1.42°
Above 1850–1900 baseline
↑ Rising
ⓘ Copernicus C3S · NOAA GISSTEMP
Measures Earth's fever relative to pre-industrial stability — the single most-watched climate signal.
NASA Satellite Altimetry · Monthly
Sea Level Rise
Updated monthly
🌊
+112mm
Since 1993 · +4.1mm/yr
↑ Accel.
ⓘ NASA JPL · CSIRO Altimetry
Every 10mm of rise threatens millions of coastal residents — this number is permanent and accelerating.
NSIDC Sea Ice Index · Daily
Arctic Sea Ice Extent
Updated daily · NSIDC
❄️
13.8M
km² · –1.2M vs median
🟡 Near Median
ⓘ NSIDC Sea Ice Index · Daily
Arctic ice is the planet's air conditioner. Less ice means faster warming everywhere else.
NOAA Mauna Loa Observatory · Weekly
CO₂ Concentration
Updated weekly · Mauna Loa
🌿
424.4
ppm · Pre-industrial: 280ppm
↑ +3.2/yr
ⓘ NOAA Mauna Loa Observatory
The Keeling Curve — humanity's longest continuous climate measurement. We've added 144ppm since industrialization.
🚀 Space
NASA Exoplanet Archive · Weekly
Exoplanet Discovery
Updated weekly
🪐
5,647
Confirmed · +412 this year
↑ Growing
ⓘ NASA Exoplanet Archive · JWST
Tracking our progress in the search for other worlds — each discovery expands the odds we're not alone.
NASA CNEOS · Daily
Near-Earth Object Watch
Updated daily · NASA CNEOS
☄️
4
Close approaches this week
✓ NO THREATS
ⓘ NASA CNEOS · JPL Sentry
Planetary awareness, not alarm — JPL's Sentry system monitors every known object. Current impact threat: zero.
Breakthrough Listen / SETI · As reported
Technosignature Watch
Updated as reported
👽
3
Active candidates · BL/SETI
→ Watch
ⓘ Breakthrough Listen · SETI Institute
Tracking the scientific search for signals beyond Earth — a curiosity meter, not a conspiracy one.
NOAA Space Weather Center · Daily
Solar Activity
Updated daily
☀️
G1
Geomagnetic storm watch
→ Moderate
ⓘ NOAA SWPC · ESA Space Weather
Solar storms affect GPS, satellites, and power grids worldwide — the sun's mood is everyone's problem.
🧠 Human Systems
IFCN / RSF / NewsGuard · Monthly
Information Integrity Index
Updated monthly · Experimental composite
🎯
61.4%
Verified claims · IFCN/RSF
↓ –4pts YOY
ⓘ IFCN · RSF Press Freedom · NewsGuard
A democracy's immune system. When verified information falls below 60%, trust in institutions follows.
World Bank · PMI · Freightos · Monthly
Global Trade Stress
Updated monthly · Composite
🚢
62
Composite stress index · 0–100
↑ Elevated
ⓘ World Bank · PMI · Freightos Baltic
When global trade fractures, prices rise and supply chains fail — felt by every household within months.
World Inequality Database · Annual
Wealth Inequality
Updated annually · WID.world
⚖️
0.67
Global Gini · Top 1% owns 38%
↑ Widening
ⓘ World Inequality Database · WID.world
The gap between where wealth concentrates and where people live determines political stability worldwide.
Opportunity Insights · Harvard · Annual
Social Mobility Index
Updated annually · World Bank
📈
53.4
Global avg · 0–100 scale
→ Stalled
ⓘ World Bank GSMI · Opportunity Insights
If where you're born determines where you end up, the promise of progress is broken. This measures that gap.
ACLED · UCDP · Monthly
Conflict Deaths
Updated monthly · ACLED
💔
28.4K
Battle deaths YTD · 2026
↑ Elevated
ⓘ ACLED · UCDP Uppsala
Every number here is a life. Tracking this honestly is the minimum we owe to the people in conflict zones.
UN DPPA · Active Missions · Monthly
Peacekeeping Reach
Updated monthly · UN DPPA
🕊️
87K
Personnel deployed · 12 missions
→ Holding
ⓘ UN DPPA · UN Peacekeeping
Paired with conflict deaths to answer: is the world's response proportional to its crises?
🌱 Biosphere
IUCN Red List · Quarterly
Species Threat Index
Updated quarterly · IUCN
🦏
44,016
Threatened species · IUCN Red List
↑ Rising
ⓘ IUCN Red List of Threatened Species
Extinction is permanent. Each species lost breaks a link in an ecosystem humans depend on to survive.
Protected Planet · UNEP-WCMC · Annual
Conservation Coverage
Updated annually · UNEP-WCMC
🌿
17.6%
Earth's surface protected · 30x30 goal
↑ Growing
ⓘ Protected Planet · UNEP-WCMC
Tracking the race to protect 30% of Earth by 2030 — the most ambitious conservation target in history.
📚 Trusted Sources
GPR Index
Caldara & Iacoviello · Geopolitical Risk · Monthly
matteoiacoviello.com →
ACLED
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data · Real-time conflict tracking
acleddata.com →
Copernicus C3S
EU Climate Change Service · Temp anomaly · Monthly
climate.copernicus.eu →
NOAA Mauna Loa
The Keeling Curve · CO₂ concentration · Weekly
gml.noaa.gov →
NSIDC Sea Ice Index
National Snow & Ice Data Center · Arctic extent · Daily
nsidc.org →
NASA Exoplanet Archive
Confirmed planet catalog · JWST/TESS · Weekly
exoplanetarchive.ipac.caltech.edu →
NASA CNEOS
Center for Near Earth Object Studies · JPL Sentry · Daily
cneos.jpl.nasa.gov →
IUCN Red List
Species threat assessments · Global biodiversity · Quarterly
iucnredlist.org →
Protected Planet
UNEP-WCMC · Conservation coverage · Annual
protectedplanet.net →
World Inequality Database
WID.world · Gini · Income shares · Annual
wid.world →
Opportunity Insights
Harvard · Social mobility research · Annual
opportunityinsights.org →
UN Peacekeeping
DPPA · Active missions · Personnel deployed · Monthly
peacekeeping.un.org →
10-Year Trend + Expert Projection
World On Edge vs. Goodness — 2015 to 2027
GPR Index · ACLED · Gallup · Conflict Deaths · Species Loss · Historical: Jan 2015 → Feb 2026 · Projection: Eurasia Group, WEF, ACLED · Click event bubbles for context
Elevated Tension
100 80 60 40 20 PROJECTION → ! Syria/ISIS ! Brexit/Elec. ★ mRNA ↑ ! COVID-19 ★ Vaccines ! Ukraine ! Gaza/M.East NOW 78 56 2015 2016 2018 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 NOW 2026 2027
World On Edge
World Goodness
Projection (expert consensus)
!
Click bubble for context
Now includes: Conflict Deaths · Species Loss · Trade Stress
📚 Trusted Sources
GPR Index
Caldara & Iacoviello · Geopolitical Risk · Monthly
matteoiacoviello.com →
ACLED
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data · Real-time conflict tracking
acleddata.com →
Copernicus C3S
EU Climate Change Service · Temp anomaly · Monthly
climate.copernicus.eu →
NOAA Mauna Loa
The Keeling Curve · CO₂ concentration · Weekly
gml.noaa.gov →
NSIDC Sea Ice Index
National Snow & Ice Data Center · Arctic extent · Daily
nsidc.org →
NASA Exoplanet Archive
Confirmed planet catalog · JWST/TESS · Weekly
exoplanetarchive.ipac.caltech.edu →
NASA CNEOS
Center for Near Earth Object Studies · JPL Sentry · Daily
cneos.jpl.nasa.gov →
IUCN Red List
Species threat assessments · Global biodiversity · Quarterly
iucnredlist.org →
Protected Planet
UNEP-WCMC · Conservation coverage · Annual
protectedplanet.net →
World Inequality Database
WID.world · Gini · Income shares · Annual
wid.world →
Opportunity Insights
Harvard · Social mobility research · Annual
opportunityinsights.org →
UN Peacekeeping
DPPA · Active missions · Personnel deployed · Monthly
peacekeeping.un.org →
How It Works
Anthony Charts is a living world intelligence dashboard — not a news feed, not an opinion platform. Every number comes from a real, publicly available scientific or institutional source. Nothing is invented. Nothing is spin. The goal is to give you a clear, honest, sourced picture of the world across four dimensions: Earth, Space, Human Systems, and Biosphere.

Where we build composite indices (like World On Edge), we publish every weight and input here so you can evaluate our editorial choices yourself. Composite indices involve judgment — we don't hide that.
The Philosophy
⚖️
Paired Opposites
Every destructive force has a countervailing force. Species extinction is paired with conservation coverage. Conflict deaths with peacekeeping reach. Wealth inequality with social mobility. This pairing is intentional — it prevents the dashboard from being purely alarming, and it asks the more interesting question: is the response proportional to the problem?
🔬
Trusted Sources Only
Every meter draws from peer-reviewed data, established institutional databases, or primary government science agencies. NOAA, NASA, IUCN, ACLED, UCDP, World Bank, UN DPPA, Copernicus C3S, NSIDC, Breakthrough Listen. No aggregators. No media outlets. No social signals. The source is always published in the drawer of each meter.
📅
Update Cadence Matters
Each meter displays its update cadence (daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, annual). We refresh values when the underlying source publishes. Some meters — like Arctic Ice and Solar Activity — update daily. Others, like Social Mobility and Conservation Coverage, update annually. Cadence is always shown on each card so you know what you're looking at.
🧮
Arc Scale Logic
Each arc gauge fills from 0% to 100% based on a meaningful scale — not arbitrary. Temp Anomaly arc = position within the 0–2°C Paris corridor. CO₂ arc = position between 280ppm (pre-industrial) and 500ppm (extreme risk). Species Threat arc = threatened as % of all assessed. Scales are documented in each drawer and here below.
🌍 The Balance — Composite Indices
😰
World On Edge Index — 78/100
A composite 0–100 score now drawing from five inputs:

· GPR Index (Caldara & Iacoviello) — geopolitical risk language across 10 major global newspapers · 35% weight
· ACLED active conflict event count — 56 active zones currently · 25% weight
· Gallup global worry and stress survey · 15% weight
· Conflict Deaths (ACLED/UCDP) — YTD battle deaths normalized · 15% weight
· Species Threat Index (IUCN) — inverted conservation signal · 10% weight

Score rose from 76 to 78 with the addition of conflict deaths and species loss as direct inputs. All inputs normalized to 0–100 before weighting.
GPR · Caldara & IacovielloACLEDGallupUCDPIUCNMonthly
💚
World Goodness Index — 54/100
Original composite tracking humanity's positive momentum, now drawing from six inputs:

· OCHA humanitarian aid volume · 20% weight
· World Bank extreme poverty rate (inverted) · 20% weight
· Our World in Data scientific breakthrough count · 15% weight
· UN treaty signatures per quarter · 15% weight
· Social Mobility Index (World Bank GSMI) · 15% weight
· Conservation Coverage growth rate (Protected Planet) · 15% weight

Score fell from 58 to 54 as wealth inequality and stalled social mobility now register as drags on the composite. Conservation wins partially offset the decline.
OCHAWorld BankOWIDUN Treaty DBProtected PlanetMonthly
🧭 Calm Window Probability
🧭
Calm Window Probability — 28% (LOW)
This is not a prediction of peace. It is a probabilistic assessment of directional easing — the likelihood that global tension meaningfully decreases within the next 12 months, based on current momentum in three signals:

· GPR 3-month slope (40% weight) — Is the Geopolitical Risk Index trending up or down? A falling 3-month slope scores higher.
· ACLED conflict trend (40% weight) — Are active conflict events growing or shrinking month-over-month? Declining event counts score higher.
· Volatility compression (20% weight) — Is the GPR falling sharply enough to signal a genuine structural easing, not just noise? Sharp downward momentum scores higher.

Each input is scored 0–100 and weighted. The final Calm Window score reflects the probability of directional easing — not cessation of conflict. At 28%, the composite says: roughly 1-in-4 chance tensions meaningfully ease in the next year. All three current inputs are trending in the wrong direction: GPR slope is rising, ACLED event counts are elevated, and no volatility compression is evident.

Found in: World On Edge drawer → stats panel
GPR · Caldara & IacovielloACLEDMonthlyExperimental
🌍 Earth Pulse
🌡️
Global Temp Anomaly — +1.42°C
Degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline, per Copernicus C3S and NOAA GISSTEMP. 12-month trailing average. Arc = position within the 0–2°C Paris Agreement risk corridor. 0% arc = baseline; 100% arc = 2°C threshold.
Copernicus C3SNOAA GISSTEMPMonthly
🌊
Sea Level Rise — +112mm
Total cumulative sea level rise since January 1993, measured by satellite altimetry (TOPEX/Poseidon → Jason-1/2/3 → Sentinel-6). Current rate +4.1mm/year, accelerated from ~2.5mm/year in the 1990s. Arc = normalized position on 0–200mm scale.
NASA JPL AltimetryCSIROMonthly
❄️
Arctic Sea Ice — 13.8M km²
Daily sea ice extent (ocean surface ≥15% concentration) from NSIDC passive microwave satellite. Compared against 1981–2010 climatological median for the same calendar day — removing seasonal distortion. Arc = percentile position within the seasonal historical range for that day of year.
NSIDC Sea Ice IndexDaily
🌿
CO₂ Concentration — 424.4 ppm
Weekly atmospheric CO₂ measurement from NOAA's Mauna Loa Observatory — the world's longest continuous CO₂ record (the Keeling Curve, begun 1958). Arc = position between 280ppm (pre-industrial baseline) and 500ppm (extreme risk scenario). Currently at 87% of that corridor.
NOAA Mauna Loa ObservatoryScripps InstitutionWeekly
🚀 Space
🪐
Exoplanet Discovery — 5,647
Cumulative confirmed exoplanets from NASA's Exoplanet Archive — peer-reviewed, published detections only. JWST and TESS are the primary current discovery engines. Arc reflects pace toward an estimated 10,000-planet milestone by 2030 at current discovery rates.
NASA Exoplanet ArchiveJWST · TESSWeekly
☄️
Near-Earth Object Watch — 4 this week
Count of close approaches within 0.05 AU (~7.5M km) from NASA CNEOS close approach database. Impact threat status from JPL Sentry automated system. Arc normalized against historical weekly average. This is a curiosity and awareness meter — not a threat alarm. Current: 0 impact threats tracked.
NASA CNEOSJPL SentryDaily
👽
Technosignature Watch — 3 candidates
Count of active, unresolved technosignature candidate signals from Breakthrough Listen's published list and SETI Institute event log. Most candidates resolve to known sources within weeks. This is a scientific search effort tracker — not a "detected aliens" meter. Arc = candidates as share of 12-month rolling average.
Breakthrough ListenSETI InstituteAs Reported
☀️
Solar Activity — G1
NOAA Space Weather Center's 24-hour peak geomagnetic storm rating on the G0–G5 scale. G1 = minor (radio interference). G3 = strong (power grid fluctuations possible). G5 = extreme (widespread power outages, satellite damage). Arc = G-scale position normalized 0–100.
NOAA SWPCESA Space WeatherDaily
🧠 Human Systems
🎯
Information Integrity — 61.4%
Experimental composite. IFCN-verified fact-checker claim accuracy rate (50% weight) + RSF Press Freedom Index inverted (30%) + NewsGuard credibility score average (20%). Weights published; not a primary research product. Arc = 0% (total misinformation) to 100% (fully verified information environment).
IFCNRSF Press FreedomNewsGuardMonthly · Experimental
🚢
Global Trade Stress — 62/100
Experimental composite. Freightos Baltic Index normalized freight rates (35%) + Global Manufacturing PMI inverted (35%) + World Bank trade volume index momentum (30%). Arc = 0 (no stress) to 100 (crisis). COVID peak was ~88. Current 62 = elevated, not crisis.
Freightos Baltic IndexPMI CompositeWorld BankMonthly · Experimental
⚖️
Wealth Inequality — Gini 0.67
Global Gini coefficient from World Inequality Database (WID.world). 0 = perfect equality; 1 = one person owns everything. Top wealth share data from same source. Arc = normalized on 0.4 (low inequality) to 0.9 (extreme inequality) scale. Current 0.67 = high, widening trend.
World Inequality DatabaseWID.worldAnnual
📈
Social Mobility — 53.4/100
World Bank Global Social Mobility Index — composite of 10 pillars including health, education access, education quality, fair wages, and social protection. Arc = 0 (no mobility) to 100 (full mobility). Global average 53.4 means birth circumstances still strongly predict life outcomes in most countries.
World Bank GSMIOpportunity Insights · HarvardAnnual
💔
Conflict Deaths — 28,400 YTD
Year-to-date battle deaths from ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data) cross-referenced with UCDP Uppsala. Counts direct battle fatalities only — not indirect deaths from disease or displacement. Arc = normalized against 50,000 annual deaths threshold (considered extreme).
ACLEDUCDP UppsalaMonthly
🕊️
Peacekeeping Reach — 87,000
Total UN peacekeeping personnel (troops, police, civilians) deployed across all active missions per UN DPPA monthly fact sheets. Paired directly with Conflict Deaths — the ratio of response to crisis. Arc = normalized against 120,000 (2015 peak deployment). Current 87K = below peak, holding steady.
UN DPPAUN PeacekeepingMonthly
🌱 Biosphere
🦏
Species Threat Index — 44,016
Total species classified Vulnerable, Endangered, or Critically Endangered on the IUCN Red List — the world's most comprehensive biodiversity database. Arc = threatened species as % of total assessed (currently 28%), normalized against a 50% threshold. Updated quarterly with each Red List assessment cycle.
IUCN Red ListQuarterly
🌿
Conservation Coverage — 17.6%
Percentage of Earth's land surface under formal protection per Protected Planet (UNEP-WCMC + IUCN). Includes nationally designated protected areas and OECMs. Paired directly with Species Threat — this is the response metric. The 30x30 target (protect 30% of land and ocean by 2030) was agreed at COP15 in 2022. Arc = % of 30x30 target achieved.
Protected PlanetUNEP-WCMCAnnual
📈 The 10-Year Chart
📈
World On Edge vs. Goodness — 2015 to 2027
The trend chart visualizes both composite indices from January 2015 through the present, with expert-consensus projections through 2027.

Historical data: GPR monthly values (Caldara & Iacoviello), ACLED annual conflict totals, Gallup Negative Experience Index. Normalized to 0–100 scale, smoothed with 3-month rolling average.

Projection methodology: Synthesized from Eurasia Group annual risk outlook, WEF Global Risks Report, ACLED conflict trajectory analysis, and IMF economic stress forecasts. Shown as dashed lines with a shaded uncertainty zone. Projections are directional, not precise.

Interactive event bubbles: Click any ! or ★ bubble on the chart to open a context panel explaining what drove that spike or dip, with sourced data. Red bubbles (!) = tension events. Green bubbles (★) = goodness moments.
GPR IndexACLEDGallupEurasia GroupWEF Risk Report
⚡ A note on methodology
Anthony Charts is a curation and visualization tool — not a primary research publisher. We normalize, weight, and present data from the sources listed above. Composite indices (World On Edge, World Goodness, Calm Window, Information Integrity, Trade Stress) involve editorial judgment in weighting. We publish every weight here and in each meter's drawer. If you see a number that looks wrong or a source that has updated, we welcome corrections. The goal is always accuracy over drama. All data is publicly sourced and linked.
✕
How this is calculated